Stocks fall for 3rd day as dollar strengthens
By STEPHEN BERNARD and TIM PARADIS
NEW YORK (AP) - Investors can't shake their fears that the
economy isn't keeping up with the stock market.
Stocks fell for a third straight day Friday as a disappointing
outlook from computer maker Dell Inc. suggested that an economic
recovery could be uneven. The major indexes all had moderate
losses, leaving the Dow Jones industrials with a slim 0.5 percent
weekly gain while broader indexes slid.
The market, which has been shuttling between concerns about the
economy and traders' need to find high-yielding investments, is
back to worrying about the economy. Demand for safe haven
investments like Treasurys and the dollar rose for a second day in
response to Dell's outlook and comments from European Central Bank
President Jean-Claude Trichet, who said the ECB plans to start
reining in some of its stimulus programs. A rising dollar also hit
commodities producers and exporters.
The week's trading saw investors, who have been pumping money
into stocks because record-low interest rates mean paltry returns
for the dollar and Treasurys, change that strategy. Many are now
questioning whether the massive stock rally this year really has
been justified given the soft spots in the economy, and so they've
been quick to retreat to safe harbors like government debt and the
greenback.
The yield on the three-month T-bill, which moves opposite its
price, fell to 0.01 percent from 0.02 percent late Thursday. Yields
briefly turned negative Thursday as investors seeking to pad their
portfolios with safe investments before the end of the year were
willing to accept negative returns.
``Investors seem to need a constant reassurance with where we
are in the economic recovery,'' said Brett D'Arcy, chief investment
officer at CBIZ Wealth Management Group in San Diego. ``We just
haven't gotten it in the past few days.''
Instead, investors got the type of downcast news from Dell that
suggests a recovery could be uneven. The company said sales of its
computers to big businesses remain sluggish. Its quarterly revenue
and profit missed analysts' expectations.
The Dow slipped 14.28, or 0.1 percent, to 10,318.16. The Dow
fell 119 points, or 1.1 percent, in the final three days of the
week. It ended the week up 0.5 percent because of steep gains
Monday following an improvement in retail sales.
The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 3òth a slim 0.5 percent
weekly gain while broader indexes slid.
The market, which has been shuttling between concerns about the
economy and traders' need to find high-yielding investments, is
back to worrying about the economy. Demand for safe haven
investments like Treasurys and the dollar rose for a second day in
response to Dell's outlook and comments from European Central Bank
President Jean-Claude Trichet, who said the ECB plans to start
reining in some of its stimulus programs. A rising dollar also hit
commodities producers and exporters.
The week's trading saw investors, who have been pumping money
into stocks because record-low interest rates mean paltry returns
for the dollar and Treasurys, change that strategy. Many are now
questioning whether the massive stock rally this year really has
been justified given the soft spots in the economy, and so they've
been quick to retreat to safe harbors like government debt and the
greenback.
The yield on the three-month T-bill, which moves opposite its
price, fell to 0.01 percent from 0.02 percent late Thursday. Yields
briefly turned negative Thursday as investors seeking to pad their
portfolios with safe investments before the end of the year were
willing to accept negative returns.
``Investors seem to need a constant reassurance with where we
are in the economic recovery,'' said Brett D'Arcy, chief investment
officer at CBIZ Wealth Management Group in San Diego. ``We just
haven't gotten it in the past few days.''
Instead, investors got the type of downcast news from Dell that
suggests a recovery could be uneven. The company said sales of its
computers to big businesses remain sluggish. Its quarterly revenue
and profit missed analysts' expectations.
The Dow slipped 14.28, or 0.1 percent, to 10,318.16. The Dow
fell 119 points, or 1.1 percent, in the final three days of the
week. It ended the week up 0.5 percent because of steep gains
Monday following an improvement in retail sales.
The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 3.52, or 0.3
percent, to 1,091.38, while the Nasdaq composite index, dominated
by tech stocks like Dell, fell 10.78, or 0.5 percent, to 2,146.04.
For the week, the S&P 500 index fell 0.2 percent and the Nasdaq
lost 1 percent. For November, those indexes are each up about 5
percent, while the Dow is up about 6 percent.
The ICE Futures US dollar index, which measures the dollar
against other major currencies, rose 0.4 percent. The stronger
dollar can hurt commodities prices and sales of U.S. exporters,
whose goods become more expensive overseas when the dollar rises.
Demand for longer-term Treasurys fell, pushing yields higher.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year note rose to 3.37 percent from
3.34 percent.
Many of the week's economic numbers made investors cautious.
Reports Wednesday and Thursday showing a drop in housing starts and
a jump in mortgage delinquencies upended an advance that had been
all but unbroken in November. Those figures brought worries that an
economic recovery will be slow and bumpy.
Concerns about the pace of a recovery have dogged the market's
eight-month rally but with the nation's unemployment rate now above
10 percent for the first time in 26 years and new worries about
housing, some analysts say investors have raced too far ahead of a
recovery in the economy.
Many investors have amassed big gains in the climb since March
that has left the S&P 500 index up 20.8 percent so far this year.
Analysts say volume has fallen in November because some money
managers are stepping away from the market to safeguard their
gains.
Traders predict volume will be light again next week because of
Thanksgiving. Even with the holiday, the week brings a flurry of
reports on home sales, unemployment, consumer confidence and demand
for big-ticket manufactured goods.
The government also will revise its early estimate that said the
economy grew at an annual pace of 3.5 percent during the
July-September quarter. Many analysts now expect gross domestic
product will be revised lower because of recent reports on housing
and retail sales.
Hank Smith, chief investment officer of equity at Haverford
Investments in Radnor, Pa., said investors are worried that a lower
reading on GDP will mean the economy didn't start the final quarter
of 2009 with as much strength as had been hoped.
Smith said the market's slump after its peak Tuesday wasn't
unexpected because of the steep gains of the first half of the
month. He predicts the latest slide and others won't be deep
because some investors who didn't take part in the market's
eight-month rally are looking for opportunities to jump in.
``The investors who have missed this move are experiencing
tremendous anxiety about missing a new bull market but also about
getting paid nothing or, in some cases, negative returns,'' Smith
said.
Dell fell $1.58, or 10 percent, to $14.29.
Energy companies logged some of the biggest drops as crude oil
fell 74 cents to settle at $76.72 per barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange as the dollar rose. Gold rose.
Three stocks fell for every two that rose on the New York Stock
Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 3.8 billion shares
compared with 4.3 billion shares Thursday.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 1.00, or 0.2
percent, to 584.68.
Overseas, Britain's FTSE 100 fell 0.3 percent, Germany's DAX
index lost 0.7 percent, and France's CAC-40 dropped 0.8 percent.
Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 0.5 percent.
The Dow Jones industrial average closed the week up 47.69, or
0.5 percent, at 10,318.16. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell
2.10, or 0.2 percent, to 1,091.38. The Nasdaq composite index fell
21.84, or 1 percent, to 2,146.04.
The Russell 2000 index, which tracks the performance of small
company stocks, fell 1.60, or 0.3 percent, for the week to 584.68.
The Dow Jones U.S. Total Stock Market Index - which measures
nearly all U.S.-based companies - ended at 11,064.78, down 30.37,
or 0.3 percent.
11/20/09 18:19
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