GOP sweep: Big governor victories in Virginia, NJ
By LIZ SIDOTI
AP National Political Writer
WASHINGTON (AP) - Independents who swept Barack Obama to a
historic 2008 victory broke big for Republicans on Tuesday as the
GOP wrested political control from Democrats in Virginia and New
Jersey, a troubling sign for the president and his party heading
into an important midterm election year.
Conservative Republican Bob McDonnell's victory in the Virginia
governor's race over Democrat R. Creigh Deeds and moderate
Republican Chris Christie's ouster of unpopular New Jersey Gov. Jon
Corzine was a double-barreled triumph for a party looking to
rebuild after being booted from power in national elections in 2006
and 2008.
The outcomes were sure to feed discussion about the state of the
electorate, the status of the diverse coalition that sent Obama to
the White House and the limits of the president's influence - on
the party's base of support and on moderate current lawmakers he
needs to advance his legislative priorities.
His signature issue of health care reform was dealt a blow hours
before polls closed when Senate Democratic leader Harry Reid
signaled that Congress may not complete health care legislation
this year, missing Obama's deadline and pushing debate into a
congressional election year.
Elsewhere on Tuesday, Maine voters weighed in on same-sex
marriage in a closely watched initiative, and New York and
California picked congressmen for two vacant seats. A slew of
cities selected mayors, and Ohio voted on allowing casinos.
The president had personally campaigned for Deeds and Corzine,
seeking to ensure that independents and base voters alike turned
out even if he wasn't on the ballot. Thus, the losses were blots on
Obama's political standing to a certain degree and suggested
potential problems ahead as he seeks to achieve his policy goals,
protect Democratic majorities in Congress and expand his party's
grip on governors' seats next fall.
Interviews with voters leaving polling stations in both states
were filled with reasons for Democrats to be concerned and for
Republicans to be optimistic, particularly about independents - the
crown jewel of elections because they often determine outcomes.
Independents were a critical part Obama's victory in Virginia,
New Jersey and across the country. But after more than a year of
recession, they fled from Democrats in the two states, where the
economy trumped all.
The Associated Press exit polls showed that nearly a third of
voters in Virginia described themselves as independents, and nearly
as many in New Jersey did. They preferred McDonnell by almost a 2-1
margin over Deeds in Virginia, and Christie over Corzine by a
similar margin.
Last year, independents split between Obama and Republican John
McCain in both states.
In Virginia, McDonnell won by big margins in rapidly growing,
far-flung Washington, D.C., suburbs - places like Loudoun and
Prince William counties - that Republicans historically have won
but where Obama prevailed last fall by winning over independents
and swing voters. Republicans swept all three statewide Virginia
offices up for election: governor, lieutenant governor and attorney
general.
``Bob McDonnell's victory gives Republicans tremendous momentum
heading into 2010,'' declared Haley Barbour, chairman of the
Republican Governors Association. ``His focus on ideas and
pocketbook issues will serve as a model for Republicans running
next year.''
Said Tim Kaine, the Democratic National Committee chairman and
the term-limited Virginia governor: ``We are disappointed.''
In both states, the surveys also suggested the Democrats had
difficulty turning out their base, including the large numbers of
first-time minority and youth voters whom Obama attracted. The
Virginia electorate was whiter in 2009 than it was in 2008, when
blacks and Hispanics voted in droves to elect the country's first
black president.
Democratic victories in both Virginia, a new swing state, and
New Jersey, a Democratic stronghold, in 2005 preceded big
Democratic years nationally in 2006 and 2008.
Tuesday's impact on Obama's popularity and on the 2010 elections
could easily be overstated. Voters are often focused on local
issues and local personalities.
Yet, national issues, like the recession, were clearly a factor,
with voter attitudes shaped to some degree by how people feel about
the state of their nation - and their place in it.
And, voter attitudes - particularly among independents - could
bode ill for Democrats in moderate districts and in swing states
like Ohio, Colorado and Nevada, should they remain unchanged when
the party seeks to defend its turf next fall. In 2010, most
governors, a third of the Senate and all members in the House will
be on ballots.
It's also difficult to separate Obama from the outcomes after he
devoted a significant chunk of time working to persuade voters to
elect Deeds in Virginia and re-elect Corzine in New Jersey.
More than four in 10 voters in Virginia said their view of Obama
factored into their choice on Tuesday, and those voters roughly
split between expressing support and opposition for the president.
People who said they disapprove of Obama's job performance voted
overwhelmingly Republican, and those who approve of the president
favored Deeds, the Democrat.
The Obama factor was similar in New Jersey, though there were
slightly more voters who said the president did not factor into
their choice.
Obama also spent energy trying to ensure the Democrats would
pick up the GOP-held vacant 23rd Congressional District seat in New
York, where Democrat Bill Owens faced conservative Doug Hoffman.
Owens led in the early vote count.
That's the race that highlighted fissures in the Republican
Party between conservatives and moderates, illustrating problems
the GOP could have in capitalizing on any discontent with Obama and
Democrats that Tuesday's results may show.
11/03/09 22:21
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