McDonnell wins in Va.; Christie takes lead in NJ
By LIZ SIDOTI
AP National Political Writer
WASHINGTON (AP) - Republicans wrested Virginia from the
Democrats Tuesday in a one-sided sweep of top offices, and New
Jersey's unpopular Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine fought for his
political life as independent voters swung behind the GOP in
elections in both states. It was a troubling sign for President
Barack Obama and his party heading into an important midterm
election year.
Conservative Republican Bob McDonnell's victory in the Virginia
governor's race over Democrat R. Creigh Deeds was a triumph for a
GOP looking to rebuild after being booted from power in national
elections in 2006 and 2008. It also was a setback for the White
House in a swing state that was a crucial part of Obama's electoral
landslide just a year ago.
In New Jersey, the early vote count showed Republican challenger
Chris Christie leading Democrat Corzine. Exit polls showed
independents heavily favoring Christie.
Voters in both Virginia and New Jersey said their top concern
was the economy.
Elsewhere, Maine voters weighed in on same-sex marriage in a
closely watched initiative, and New York and California picked
congressmen for two vacant seats. A slew of cities selected mayors,
and Ohio voted on allowing casinos.
One year after Obama won the White House in an electoral
landslide and Democrats expanded their majorities in Congress, much
of the focus was on Virginia and New Jersey. The outcomes were sure
to feed discussion about the state of the electorate, the status of
the diverse coalition that sent Obama to the White House and the
limits of the president's influence - on the party's base of
support and on moderate current lawmakers he needs to advance his
legislative priorities.
As if on cue, Senate Democratic leader Harry Reid indicated
Tuesday that Congress may not complete health care legislation this
year, missing Obama's deadline on his signature issue and pushing
debate into a congressional election year.
The president had personally campaigned for Deeds and Corzine,
raising the stakes in low-energy off-year elections. Thus, even one
Democratic loss was a blot on Obama's political standing to a
certain degree and signaled potential problems ahead as he seeks to
achieve his policy goals, protect Democratic majorities in Congress
and expand his party's grip on governors' seats next fall.
Democrats had won big victories in Virginia in 2006 and 2008,
and they have considered New Jersey a stronghold.
But interviews with voters leaving polling stations in both
states on Tuesday were filled with reasons for Democrats to be
concerned and for Republicans to be optimistic.
Early returns in Virginia showed that by a 2-1 margin McDonnell
was winning rapidly growing, far-flung Washington, D.C., suburbs -
places like Loudoun and Prince William counties - that Republicans
historically have won but where Obama prevailed last fall by
winning over swing voters. Republicans swept all three statewide
Virginia offices up for grabs: governor, lieutenant governor and
attorney general.
``Bob McDonnell's victory gives Republicans tremendous momentum
heading into 2010,'' declared Haley Barbour, chairman of the
Republican Governors Association. ``His focus on ideas and
pocketbook issues will serve as a model for Republicans running
next year.''
Independents - the crown jewel of elections because they often
determine outcomes - were a critical part Obama's victory in
Virginia and across the country. But after more than a year of
recession, they fled from Democrats in a state where the economy
trumped all. And exit polls indicated they were doing the same in
New Jersey.
The Associated Press exit polls showed that nearly a third of
voters in Virginia described themselves as independents on Tuesday,
and nearly as many in New Jersey did. They preferred McDonnell by
almost a 2-1 margin over Deeds in Virginia, and Christie over
Corzine by a similar margin.
Last year, independents split between Obama and Republican John
McCain in both states.
The surveys also suggested the Democrats had difficulty turning
out their base, including the large numbers of first-time minority
and youth voters whom Obama attracted. The Virginia electorate was
whiter in 2009 than it was in 2008, when blacks and Hispanics
turned out in droves to elect the country's first black president.
Democratic victories in both Virginia and New Jersey in 2005
preceded big Democratic years nationally in 2006 and 2008.
Tuesday's impact on Obama's standing and on the 2010 elections
could easily be overstated. Voters are often focused on local
issues and local personalities.
Yet, national issues, like the recession, were clearly a factor,
with voter attitudes shaped to some degree by how people feel about
the state of their nation - and their place in it.
It was also difficult to separate Obama from the outcomes after
he devoted a significant chunk of time working to persuade voters
to elect Deeds in Virginia and re-elect Corzine in New Jersey.
More than four in 10 voters in Virginia said their view of Obama
factored into their choice on Tuesday, and those voters roughly
split between expressing support and opposition for the president.
People who said they disapprove of Obama's job performance voted
overwhelmingly Republican, and those who approve of the president
favored Deeds, the Democrat.
The Obama factor was similar in New Jersey, though there were
slightly more voters who said the president did not factor into
their choice.
Obama campaigned in person for both Deeds and Corzine and was
featured in their advertisements. He characterized the two as
necessary allies in the White House's effort to advance his plans.
And he deployed his political campaign arm, Organizing for America,
in an effort to ensure the swarms of party loyalists and new voters
he attracted in 2008 turned out.
He also spent energy trying to ensure the Democrats would pick
up the GOP-held vacant 23rd Congressional District seat in New
York, where Democrat Bill Owens faced conservative Doug Hoffman.
That's the race that highlighted fissures in the Republican
Party between conservatives and moderates, illustrating problems
the GOP could have in capitalizing on any discontent with Obama and
Democrats that Tuesday's results may show.
Obama needs all the lawmakers he can get to pass his legislative
priorities of health care and climate change, but defeats Tuesday
could make it much harder for him to persuade moderate Democrats
from right-leaning states and conservative districts, who are
hearing from voters worried about his expansion of government at a
time of rising deficits, to get on board.
Defeats also could tease out upcoming problems for Democrats,
particularly in moderate districts and in swing states like Ohio,
Colorado and Nevada, as they defend their turf next fall. In 2010,
most governors, a third of the Senate and all members in the House
will be on ballots.
11/03/09 21:12
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